Joshua Sheehy vs Axel Nefve – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/02/2026 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
78
1st serve percentage
59%59%
1st serve points won
71% (29/41)67% (37/55)
2nd serve points won
36% (10/28)46% (18/39)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)64% (7/11)
1st return points won
33% (18/55)32% (13/41)
2nd return points won
54% (21/39)64% (18/28)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)100% (5/5)
Winners
1825
Unforced errors
3231
Net points won
42% (5/12)27% (3/11)
Service Points Won
56% (38/68)59% (55/94)
Return Points Won
41% (39/94)44% (30/68)
Total Points Won
48% (77/162)52% (85/162)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
20
Service games won
62% (8/13)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)38% (5/13)
Total games won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Joshua Sheehy
73.1%
Axel Nefve
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joshua Sheehy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Axel Nefve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Joshua Sheehy - Axel Nefve Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.25)

    3.45
    (3.7)
    7.5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Joshua Sheehy - Axel Nefve?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sheehy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sheehy is ranked ATP: 537. Nefve is ranked ATP: 965.
    • Sheehy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nefve's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Nefve may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sheehy is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Joshua Sheehy
    Latest results of Axel Nefve
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2