Result
2:0
18/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 6, hard - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Daniil Ostapenkov
62% | Luca Castagnola
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Ostapenkov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniil Ostapenkov - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.49) |
|
2.45 ↑
(2.38) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Ostapenkov - Luca Castagnola?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 719. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 674.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ostapenkov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Ostapenkov won against Luca Castagnola?
Daniil Ostapenkov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Daniil Ostapenkov?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Ostapenkov - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Erel Y. (1) | Aleshchev A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vickery L. | Massellani S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouchelaghem C. | Iannaccone F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Steiner M. | Ouakaa A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Zhukov M. (4) | Piatti R. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rapagnetta D. | Aubriot A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lee K. | Sakellaridis D. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Smiej Y. | Kivattsev K. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Borg L. (6) | Shepp A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Ostapenkov D. | Castagnola L. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Simundza J. | Angelini L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Branger L. | Loge J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Kirkin E. (7) | Betov S. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gribaldo M. | Kaouk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Omarkhanov A. | Van Herck L. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pognon C. | Faurel T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Erel Y. (1) | Massellani S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouchelaghem C. | Steiner M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zhukov M. (4) | Aubriot A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Lee K. | Kivattsev K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Borg L. (6) | Ostapenkov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Simundza J. (RET.) | Loge J. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Kirkin E. (7) | Kaouk M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Omarkhanov A. | Faurel T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Erel Y. (1) | Bouchelaghem C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhukov M. (4) | Lee K. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Borg L. (6) | Loge J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Kirkin E. (7) | Faurel T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bouchelaghem C. | Zhukov M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Loge J. (3) | Faurel T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Bouchelaghem C. | Loge J. (3) | 2 : 0 |
