Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/02/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
95
Double Faults
95
1st serve percentage
69%57%
1st serve points won
66% (40/61)68% (38/56)
2nd serve points won
25% (7/28)52% (22/42)
Break Points Saved
64% (9/14)77% (10/13)
1st return points won
34% (19/56)34% (21/61)
2nd return points won
48% (20/42)75% (21/28)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)36% (5/14)
Winners
3225
Unforced errors
4430
Net points won
48% (15/31)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
53% (47/89)61% (59/97)
Return Points Won
39% (38/97)47% (42/89)
Total Points Won
46% (85/186)54% (101/186)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Alafia Ayeni
24.5%
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 71.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alafia Ayeni's form might have worsened.
  • Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (2.96)

    1.24
    (1.35)
    6.8%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ayeni will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ayeni is ranked ATP: 608. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 228.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pacheco Mendez is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    17.02.2026 Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Martin D. retired
    16.02.2026 Alafia Ayeni - Amit Vales 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2