Result
1:2
18/02/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (40/61) | 68% (38/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 34% (21/61) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 75% (21/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 36% (5/14) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 44 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 75% (12/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (47/89) | 61% (59/97) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (38/97) | 47% (42/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (85/186) | 54% (101/186) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 38% (5/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (15/26) |
Chances of winning
Alafia Ayeni 24.5% | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 75.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alafia Ayeni's form might have worsened.Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-4%)
Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.79 ↑ (2.96) |
|
1.24 ↓ (1.35) |
6.8% (7.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ayeni will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ayeni is ranked ATP: 608. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 228.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pacheco Mendez is seen as the favorite.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Alafia Ayeni won against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?
Alafia Ayeni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez won against Alafia Ayeni?
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez were as follows:
Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
Latest results of Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Fishback R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nefve A. (Q) | Sau Franco A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rodrigues N. (Q) | Tobon M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Gomez J. S. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Galarneau A. (4) | Hardt N. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Baadi T. | Kingsley C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Winter E. | Dickerson R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Aguilar J. C. M. | Martin A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (8) | McCormick T. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bicknell B. | Poling K. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Martin D. (RET.) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Dalmasso G. (Q) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Gojo B. (5) | Mena F. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Jones B. (Q) | De Alba R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Brouwer G. (PR) | Gima S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | Tomic B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Nefve A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rodrigues N. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. (4) | Kingsley C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Winter E. | Martin A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kozlov S. (8) | Poling K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayeni A. | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gojo B. (5) | Jones B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Brouwer G. | Tomic B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Andrade A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Galarneau A. (4) | Winter E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kozlov S. (8) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gojo B. (5) | Tomic B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Andrade A. (6) | Galarneau A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Galarneau A. (4) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |