Elvina Kalieva vs Sakura Hosogi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
69%75%
1st serve points won
85% (23/27)47% (20/43)
2nd serve points won
42% (5/12)21% (3/14)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)40% (4/10)
1st return points won
53% (23/43)15% (4/27)
2nd return points won
79% (11/14)58% (7/12)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
72% (28/39)41% (24/58)
Return Points Won
59% (34/58)28% (11/39)
Total Points Won
64% (62/97)36% (35/97)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Elvina Kalieva
72.6%
Sakura Hosogi
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvina Kalieva's performance.
  • Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakura Hosogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elvina Kalieva that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elvina Kalieva - Sakura Hosogi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.44)

    3.43
    (2.62)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Elvina Kalieva - Sakura Hosogi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kalieva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hosogi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kalieva is ranked WTA: 158. Hosogi is ranked WTA: 323.
    • Kalieva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hosogi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hosogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kalieva is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elvina Kalieva
    Latest results of Sakura Hosogi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2