Michael Geerts vs Felix Gill – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/02/2026 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1012
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
55%74%
1st serve points won
78% (46/59)68% (50/74)
2nd serve points won
60% (29/48)62% (16/26)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)82% (9/11)
1st return points won
32% (24/74)24% (14/59)
2nd return points won
38% (10/26)40% (19/48)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)17% (1/6)
Winners
3636
Unforced errors
3233
Net points won
82% (9/11)53% (9/17)
Service Points Won
69% (72/105)66% (66/100)
Return Points Won
34% (34/100)31% (33/105)
Total Points Won
52% (106/205)48% (99/205)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
22
Service games won
93% (14/15)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)7% (1/15)
Total games won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Michael Geerts
52.4%
Felix Gill
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.
  • Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Gill's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Gill, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michael Geerts - Felix Gill Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.58)

    1.96
    (2.23)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Michael Geerts - Felix Gill?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gill will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gill (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Geerts is ranked ATP: 299. Gill is ranked ATP: 322.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerts won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Geerts - Felix Gill were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Felix Gill - Michael Geerts 2:1
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    Latest results of Felix Gill
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Ivashka I. (PR)1 : 2
    2Dhamne M. (WC)Sakellaridis S.
    3Ajdukovic D.Shin S.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P.Ferreira Silva F. (5)0 : 2
    5Simakin I. (3)Leong M. W. K. (Q)
    6Gray A.Michalski D.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Kumasaka T. (Q)Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (7)Nagal S.
    10Geerts M.Gill F.1 : 2
    11Kasnikowski M. (Q)Singh K. (WC)
    12Huang T. (LL)Crawford O. (4)
    13Butvilas E. (8)Vishal Balsekar A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Wu Tung-Lin (Q)Binda A. (LL)2 : 0
    15Zhukayev B.Imamura M. (Q)
    16Takahashi Y. (Q)Clarke J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ivashka I.TBD #2
    2Ajdukovic D.Ferreira Silva F. (5)
    3TBD #5Gray A.
    4Shimizu Y.Cina F. (6)
    5TBD #9Gill F.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Butvilas E. (8)Wu Tung-Lin
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2