Gastao Elias vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Elias G. retired
20/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Gastao Elias
44.6%
Lui Maxted
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.11)

    1.67
    (1.61)
    8%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Maxted will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elias (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Maxted (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Elias is ranked ATP: 389. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Gastao Elias
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Alujas R.2 : 0
    2Rocha F.Giotis R.2 : 0
    3Verbeek D. (RET.)Fernandez Flores D.0 : 1
    4Da Rosa Castro G.Basing M. (6)0 : 2
    5Pereira T. (3)Domingues J.2 : 0
    6Kravchenko G.Murgett F.2 : 0
    7Caniato C. A.Giunta M.1 : 2
    8McKennon M.Onclin G. (5)0 : 2
    9Elias G. (7)Searle H.2 : 0
    10Cacao T.Maia H.2 : 0
    11Honda N.Monteiro S.2 : 0
    12Maxted L.Broady L. (4)2 : 0
    13Brancaccio R. (8)Luis T.2 : 0
    14Overbeck C. E.Curras Abasolo T.2 : 0
    15Izquierdo Luque R.Tabacco G.1 : 2
    16Melnic V. (LL)Uchida K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Rocha F.2 : 0
    2Fernandez Flores D.Basing M. (6)0 : 2
    3Pereira T. (3)Kravchenko G.2 : 0
    4Giunta M.Onclin G. (5)1 : 2
    5Elias G. (7)Cacao T.2 : 0
    6Honda N.Maxted L.0 : 2
    7Brancaccio R. (8)Overbeck C. E.2 : 1
    8Tabacco G.Uchida K. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Peniston R. (RET.) (1)Basing M. (6)0 : 1
    2Pereira T. (3)Onclin G. (5)1 : 2
    3Elias G. (RET.) (7)Maxted L.0 : 0
    4Brancaccio R. (8)Uchida K. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Basing M. (6)Onclin G. (5)0 : 2
    2Maxted L.Brancaccio R. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Onclin G. (5)Maxted L.2 : 0