Alina Charaeva vs Nao Hibino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
61%76%
1st serve points won
68% (26/38)57% (32/56)
2nd serve points won
54% (13/24)44% (8/18)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
43% (24/56)32% (12/38)
2nd return points won
56% (10/18)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
65% (40/62)55% (41/74)
Return Points Won
45% (33/74)35% (22/62)
Total Points Won
54% (73/136)46% (63/136)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
80% (8/10)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Alina Charaeva
47.2%
Nao Hibino
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Nao Hibino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nao Hibino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.15)

    1.77
    (1.63)
    7.5%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hibino will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 50%). Hibino (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163. Hibino is ranked WTA: 196.
    • Recent performances by Charaeva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hibino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hibino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Hibino will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Latest results of Nao Hibino
    12.02.2026 Nao Hibino - Lin Zhu Hibino N. retired
    11.02.2026 Nao Hibino - Erika Sema 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2