Ergi Kirkin vs Thomas Faurel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/02/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 6, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
22

Chances of winning


Ergi Kirkin
29.8%
Thomas Faurel
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.
  • Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas Faurel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thomas Faurel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ergi Kirkin - Thomas Faurel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.61)

    1.4
    (1.41)
    2.1%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Ergi Kirkin - Thomas Faurel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kirkin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kirkin is ranked ATP: 594. Faurel is ranked ATP: 458.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Faurel might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Faurel will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Latest results of Thomas Faurel
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Erel Y. (1)Aleshchev A.2 : 0
    2Vickery L.Massellani S.0 : 2
    3Bouchelaghem C.Iannaccone F.2 : 0
    4Steiner M.Ouakaa A. (8)2 : 1
    5Zhukov M. (4)Piatti R.2 : 1
    6Rapagnetta D.Aubriot A.0 : 2
    7Lee K.Sakellaridis D.2 : 1
    8Smiej Y.Kivattsev K. (5)0 : 2
    9Borg L. (6)Shepp A.2 : 1
    10Ostapenkov D.Castagnola L.2 : 0
    11Simundza J.Angelini L.2 : 0
    12Branger L.Loge J. (3)0 : 2
    13Kirkin E. (7)Betov S.2 : 0
    14Gribaldo M.Kaouk M.0 : 2
    15Omarkhanov A.Van Herck L.2 : 0
    16Pognon C.Faurel T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Erel Y. (1)Massellani S.2 : 0
    2Bouchelaghem C.Steiner M.2 : 0
    3Zhukov M. (4)Aubriot A.2 : 1
    4Lee K.Kivattsev K. (5)2 : 1
    5Borg L. (6)Ostapenkov D.2 : 0
    6Simundza J. (RET.)Loge J. (3)0 : 1
    7Kirkin E. (7)Kaouk M.2 : 0
    8Omarkhanov A.Faurel T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Erel Y. (1)Bouchelaghem C.1 : 2
    2Zhukov M. (4)Lee K.2 : 1
    3Borg L. (6)Loge J. (3)1 : 2
    4Kirkin E. (7)Faurel T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bouchelaghem C.Zhukov M. (4)2 : 0
    2Loge J. (3)Faurel T. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bouchelaghem C.Loge J. (3)2 : 0