Mary Stoiana vs Hanyu Guo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
77
1st serve percentage
64%62%
1st serve points won
63% (50/80)58% (38/66)
2nd serve points won
33% (15/45)56% (23/41)
Break Points Saved
43% (6/14)22% (2/9)
1st return points won
44% (29/66)38% (30/80)
2nd return points won
44% (18/41)67% (30/45)
Break Points Converted
78% (7/9)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
52% (65/124)56% (61/108)
Return Points Won
44% (47/108)48% (59/124)
Total Points Won
48% (112/232)52% (120/232)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (10/18)61% (11/18)
Return games won
39% (7/18)44% (8/18)
Total games won
47% (17/36)53% (19/36)

Chances of winning


Mary Stoiana
66%
Hanyu Guo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Hanyu Guo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanyu Guo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Mary Stoiana - Hanyu Guo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.5)

    2.75
    (2.5)
    6.9%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Stoiana is ranked WTA: 185. Guo is ranked WTA: 186.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Stoiana might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mary Stoiana
    16.02.2026 Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana 1:2
    06.02.2026 Kayla Day - Mary Stoiana 2:1
    05.02.2026 Ema Burgic - Mary Stoiana Burgic E. retired
    Latest results of Hanyu Guo
    20.02.2026 Elvina Kalieva - Hanyu Guo 1:2
    19.02.2026 Katarina Jokic - Hanyu Guo Jokic K. retired
    17.02.2026 Hanyu Guo - Louisa Chirico 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2