Gauthier Onclin vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Final

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
100

Chances of winning


Gauthier Onclin
60.1%
Lui Maxted
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gauthier Onclin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lui Maxted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gauthier Onclin - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.59)

    2.31
    (2.15)
    8.3%
    (9.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Onclin is ranked ATP: 312. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.
    • Onclin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Maxted has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Onclin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Gauthier Onclin
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    20.02.2026 Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Elias G. retired
    19.02.2026 Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted 0:2
    17.02.2026 Lui Maxted - Liam Broady 2:0
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Alujas R.2 : 0
    2Rocha F.Giotis R.2 : 0
    3Verbeek D. (RET.)Fernandez Flores D.0 : 1
    4Da Rosa Castro G.Basing M. (6)0 : 2
    5Pereira T. (3)Domingues J.2 : 0
    6Kravchenko G.Murgett F.2 : 0
    7Caniato C. A.Giunta M.1 : 2
    8McKennon M.Onclin G. (5)0 : 2
    9Elias G. (7)Searle H.2 : 0
    10Cacao T.Maia H.2 : 0
    11Honda N.Monteiro S.2 : 0
    12Maxted L.Broady L. (4)2 : 0
    13Brancaccio R. (8)Luis T.2 : 0
    14Overbeck C. E.Curras Abasolo T.2 : 0
    15Izquierdo Luque R.Tabacco G.1 : 2
    16Melnic V. (LL)Uchida K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Peniston R. (1)Rocha F.2 : 0
    2Fernandez Flores D.Basing M. (6)0 : 2
    3Pereira T. (3)Kravchenko G.2 : 0
    4Giunta M.Onclin G. (5)1 : 2
    5Elias G. (7)Cacao T.2 : 0
    6Honda N.Maxted L.0 : 2
    7Brancaccio R. (8)Overbeck C. E.2 : 1
    8Tabacco G.Uchida K. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Peniston R. (RET.) (1)Basing M. (6)0 : 1
    2Pereira T. (3)Onclin G. (5)1 : 2
    3Elias G. (RET.) (7)Maxted L.0 : 0
    4Brancaccio R. (8)Uchida K. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Basing M. (6)Onclin G. (5)0 : 2
    2Maxted L.Brancaccio R. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Onclin G. (5)Maxted L.2 : 0