Federico Iannaccone vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
63%74%
1st serve points won
56% (33/59)63% (50/79)
2nd serve points won
62% (21/34)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
1st return points won
38% (30/79)46% (27/59)
2nd return points won
57% (16/28)38% (13/34)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)50% (5/10)
Winners
2527
Unforced errors
5048
Net points won
100% (4/4)74% (20/27)
Service Points Won
57% (53/93)58% (62/107)
Return Points Won
42% (45/107)43% (40/93)
Total Points Won
49% (98/200)51% (102/200)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
64% (9/14)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)36% (5/14)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Federico Iannaccone
41.9%
Petr Nesterov
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 63.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Iannaccone's performance.
  • Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Federico Iannaccone - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.6)

    1.6
    (1.44)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 665. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 487.
    • Iannaccone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nesterov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nesterov could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)
    15Topo M.Huesler M.
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Skatov T. (7)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Mmoh M.
    6TBD #11Piros Z. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2