Keegan Smith vs Max Hans Rehberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
77%68%
1st serve points won
77% (68/88)72% (62/86)
2nd serve points won
42% (11/26)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)88% (7/8)
1st return points won
28% (24/86)24% (21/88)
2nd return points won
50% (20/40)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)20% (1/5)
Winners
3724
Unforced errors
4839
Net points won
77% (23/30)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
69% (79/114)65% (82/126)
Return Points Won
35% (44/126)31% (35/114)
Total Points Won
51% (123/240)49% (117/240)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
94% (16/17)94% (16/17)
Return games won
6% (1/17)6% (1/17)
Total games won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
38.1%
Max Hans Rehberg
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Max Hans Rehberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Hans Rehberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.46)

    1.5
    (1.49)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rehberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 308. Rehberg is ranked ATP: 571.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rehberg could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Max Hans Rehberg
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G.
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.TBD #2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.
    3Ofner S. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2