Result
2:1
24/02/2026 at 13:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 54% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 85% (56/66) | 79% (45/57) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 57% (28/49) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 21% (12/57) | 21% (14/66) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 33% (9/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (1/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 77% (10/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 80% (74/93) | 69% (71/103) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (32/103) | 20% (19/93) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (106/196) | 46% (90/196) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 88% (14/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 6% (1/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
August Holmgren
64.2% | Kaichi Uchida
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in August Holmgren's performance.Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaichi Uchida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
August Holmgren - Kaichi Uchida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.57) |
|
2.58 ↑
(2.25) |
7.9%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for August Holmgren - Kaichi Uchida?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Holmgren is ranked ATP: 199. Uchida is ranked ATP: 242.
- Holmgren has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Uchida has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Holmgren might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has August Holmgren won against Kaichi Uchida?
August Holmgren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kaichi Uchida won against August Holmgren?
Kaichi Uchida has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between August Holmgren - Kaichi Uchida were as follows:
Latest results of August Holmgren
Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Topo M. (RET.) | Huesler M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Nesterov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Skatov T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Brunclik P. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mrva M. | Mmoh M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holmgren A. (8) | Brunold M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesler M. | Glinka D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mrva M. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brunold M. | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Piros Z. (3) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Piros Z. (3) | 1 : 2 |
