Francis Tiafoe vs Nuno Borges – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
412
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
66%61%
1st serve points won
73% (29/40)70% (28/40)
2nd serve points won
67% (14/21)42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
30% (12/40)28% (11/40)
2nd return points won
58% (15/26)33% (7/21)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)20% (1/5)
Winners
2118
Unforced errors
2724
Net points won
100% (9/9)38% (5/13)
Service Points Won
70% (43/61)59% (39/66)
Return Points Won
41% (27/66)30% (18/61)
Total Points Won
55% (70/127)45% (57/127)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
90% (9/10)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Francis Tiafoe
63.3%
Nuno Borges
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francis Tiafoe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.57)

    2.64
    (2.38)
    4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francis Tiafoe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Borges is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Tiafoe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Borges's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Latest results of Nuno Borges
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.2 : 0
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)2 : 1
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)0 : 2
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    2Atmane T.Jodar R.2 : 1
    3Wu Y.Shimabukuro S.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    5Tiafoe F. (8)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Bellucci M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)2 : 0
    7Vacherot V. (6)Monfils G.2 : 0
    8Nakashima B.Kypson P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Atmane T.2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    3Tiafoe F. (8)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    4Vacherot V. (6)Nakashima B.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kecmanovic M.Cobolli F. (5)1 : 2
    2Tiafoe F. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (5)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0