Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 76% (25/33) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 50% (8/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/9 | 2/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 60% (18/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/4 | 5/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 67% (32/48) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 55% (29/53) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (40/101) | 60% (61/101) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Cameron Norrie
28.1% | Rafael Jodar
71.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.53) |
|
1.33 ↓
(1.48) |
4.8%
(7.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Jodar will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 54.4% – 89.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Jodar (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Norrie is ranked ATP: 24. Jodar is ranked ATP: 55.
- Norrie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Jodar is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Norrie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cameron Norrie won against Rafael Jodar?
Cameron Norrie has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rafael Jodar won against Cameron Norrie?
Rafael Jodar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cameron Norrie - Rafael Jodar were as follows:
24.02.2026
Rafael Jodar
-
Cameron Norrie
2:0
Latest results of Cameron Norrie
Latest results of Rafael Jodar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Virtanen O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (Q) | Sonego L. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Ofner S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Medjedovic H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Etcheverry T. M. | Draper J. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Norrie C. (7) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Munar J. | Jodar R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Fils A. (9) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Nakashima B. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Buse I. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Machac T. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Norrie C. (7) | Quinn E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fils A. (9) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Machac T. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (7) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fils A. (9) | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Fils A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Fils A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
