Hanyu Guo vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
69%74%
1st serve points won
61% (36/59)66% (33/50)
2nd serve points won
37% (10/27)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
71% (10/14)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
34% (17/50)41% (24/59)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)63% (17/27)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)29% (4/14)
Service Points Won
54% (45/84)62% (41/66)
Return Points Won
38% (25/66)46% (39/84)
Total Points Won
47% (70/150)53% (80/150)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
40
Service games won
64% (7/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Hanyu Guo
50.6%
Alina Charaeva
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hanyu Guo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanyu Guo's form might have worsened.
  • Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanyu Guo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanyu Guo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.67)

    1.89
    (2.1)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Guo is ranked WTA: 186. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163.
    • In recent matches, Guo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charaeva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Guo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hanyu Guo
    21.02.2026 Miriana Tona - Hanyu Guo Canceled
    21.02.2026 Mary Stoiana - Hanyu Guo 1:2
    20.02.2026 Elvina Kalieva - Hanyu Guo 1:2
    19.02.2026 Katarina Jokic - Hanyu Guo Jokic K. retired
    17.02.2026 Hanyu Guo - Louisa Chirico 2:1
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2