Heather Watson vs Lia Karatancheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
103
1st serve percentage
53%61%
1st serve points won
71% (40/56)62% (41/66)
2nd serve points won
46% (23/50)44% (19/43)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)55% (6/11)
1st return points won
39% (26/66)30% (17/56)
2nd return points won
56% (24/43)54% (27/50)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
59% (63/106)56% (59/106)
Return Points Won
44% (47/106)41% (43/106)
Total Points Won
52% (110/212)48% (102/212)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
75% (12/16)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)25% (4/16)
Total games won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Heather Watson
65.5%
Lia Karatancheva
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Heather Watson - Lia Karatancheva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)

    2.7
    (2.73)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watson is ranked WTA: 278. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 297.
    • Karatancheva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Watson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Watson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Heather Watson
    Latest results of Lia Karatancheva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2