Result
2:1
23/02/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (43/67) | 70% (45/64) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 46% (11/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 43% (3/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 36% (24/67) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 47% (17/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 57% (4/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 81% (22/27) | 100% (11/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (62/103) | 64% (56/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (32/88) | 40% (41/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (94/191) | 51% (97/191) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 50% (15/30) |
Chances of winning
Gabriele Piraino
44.4% | Petr Nesterov
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Piraino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Nesterov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.67 ↑
(1.5) |
7.9%
(10.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Piraino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nesterov will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nesterov: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Petr Nesterov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Piraino is ranked ATP: 359. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 487.
- Piraino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nesterov is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nesterov might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabriele Piraino won against Petr Nesterov?
Gabriele Piraino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Petr Nesterov won against Gabriele Piraino?
Petr Nesterov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov were as follows:
Latest results of Gabriele Piraino
Latest results of Petr Nesterov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | |
| 15 | Topo M. | Huesler M. | |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
