Keegan Smith vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
78%72%
1st serve points won
69% (36/52)66% (29/44)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
34% (15/44)31% (16/52)
2nd return points won
71% (12/17)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)33% (1/3)
Winners
2719
Unforced errors
2530
Net points won
62% (13/21)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
69% (46/67)56% (34/61)
Return Points Won
44% (27/61)31% (21/67)
Total Points Won
57% (73/128)43% (55/128)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
73.9%
Jakub Paul
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.
  • Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.67)

    3.74
    (2.09)
    2.3%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paul will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). Paul (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 308. Paul is ranked ATP: 496.
    • Smith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G.
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.TBD #2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.
    3Ofner S. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2