Result
2:1
23/02/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 43% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 73% (24/33) | 63% (24/38) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 46% (23/50) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 58% (7/12) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 27% (9/33) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 38% (9/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 100% (2/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 100% (5/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (39/57) | 53% (47/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (41/88) | 32% (18/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (80/145) | 45% (65/145) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 39% (9/23) |
Chances of winning
Andrea Pellegrino
53.1% | Alex Barrena
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Barrena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.67) |
|
2.02 ↓
(2.19) |
5.8%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Barrena?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Barrena will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 50%). Barrena (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 140. Barrena is ranked ATP: 180.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrea Pellegrino won against Alex Barrena?
Andrea Pellegrino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Barrena won against Andrea Pellegrino?
Alex Barrena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Barrena were as follows:
Latest results of Andrea Pellegrino
Latest results of Alex Barrena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | |
| 3 | Passaro F. (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. | |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
