Varvara Lepchenko vs Shuai Zhang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
21.5%
Shuai Zhang
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shuai Zhang's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shuai Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Shuai Zhang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (3.4)

    1.2
    (1.33)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 152. Zhang is ranked WTA: 86.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 1.
    • Lepchenko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Zhang is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Shuai Zhang
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2