Shaun Murphy vs Chang Bingyu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
24/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Welsh Open - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Shaun Murphy
67.7%
Chang Bingyu
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Chang Bingyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chang Bingyu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Shaun Murphy - Chang Bingyu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.38)

    2.87
    (2.89)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 8. Bingyu is ranked World Ranking: 54.
    • Murphy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bingyu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Murphy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Murphy is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Murphy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:52. (average 27.5:26).
    Latest results of Shaun Murphy
    Latest results of Chang Bingyu
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Selby M.Jun J.3 : 4
    2Yuan S.Leclercq J.4 : 3
    3Si JiahuiWilliams R.2 : 4
    4Maguire S.Walden R.4 : 3
    5O'Connor J.Hill A.4 : 0
    6Wu Y.Mertens B.4 : 0
    7Lei P.Emery D.3 : 4
    8Allen M.Grace D.2 : 4
    9Williams M.Holt M.4 : 2
    10Ford T.O'Donnell M.2 : 4
    11Hawkins B.Lilley D.4 : 3
    12Pang J.Kowalski A.4 : 2
    13Carter A.McGill A.3 : 4
    14Jones JakHighfield L.4 : 1
    15Vafaei H.Zizins A.4 : 1
    16Robertson N.Szubarczyk M.4 : 1
    17Wilson K.Liu H.4 : 1
    18Zhou Y.Ursenbacher A.4 : 0
    19Wilson G.Sarkhosh A.4 : 0
    20Slessor E.Craigie S.3 : 4
    21Zhang A.Mann M.4 : 2
    22Wakelin C.Pullen L.3 : 4
    23Day R.Revesz B.3 : 4
    24Higgins J.Wenwei L.4 : 1
    25Murphy S.Chang B.0 : 4
    26Page J.Brecel L.4 : 0
    27Xiao G.Zehuang L.4 : 3
    28Lisowski J.Heathcote L.4 : 2
    29Gilbert D.McGuigan R.4 : 1
    30Bingham S.Yang G.4 : 2
    31Robertson J.Moody S.0 : 4
    32Zhao X.Fan Z.4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Jun J.Yuan S.4 : 0
    2Williams R.Maguire S.4 : 3
    3O'Connor J.Wu Y.2 : 4
    4Emery D.Grace D.1 : 4
    5Williams M.O'Donnell M.4 : 1
    6Hawkins B.Pang J.4 : 2
    7McGill A.Jones Jak2 : 4
    8Vafaei H.Robertson N.1 : 4
    9Wilson K.Zhou Y.1 : 4
    10Wilson G.Craigie S.1 : 4
    11Zhang A.Pullen L.4 : 2
    12Revesz B.Higgins J.3 : 4
    13Chang B.Page J.3 : 4
    14Xiao G.Lisowski J.3 : 4
    15Gilbert D.Bingham S.2 : 4
    16Moody S.Zhao X.2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Jun J.Williams R.4 : 1
    2Wu Y.Grace D.4 : 0
    3Williams M.Hawkins B.2 : 4
    4Jones JakRobertson N.3 : 4
    5Zhou Y.Craigie S.4 : 1
    6Zhang A.Higgins J.2 : 4
    7Page J.Lisowski J.2 : 4
    8Bingham S.Zhao X.4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jun J.Wu Y.4 : 5
    2Hawkins B.Robertson N.5 : 3
    3Zhou Y.Higgins J.0 : 5
    4Lisowski J.Bingham S.5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Wu Y.Hawkins B.
    2Higgins J.Lisowski J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2