Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 65% (51/78) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 59% (24/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (27/78) | 30% (25/84) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 50% (20/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 49 | 41 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (22/32) | 43% (10/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (79/124) | 63% (75/119) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (44/119) | 36% (45/124) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (123/243) | 49% (120/243) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 50% (17/34) |
Chances of winning
Ilia Simakin
54.2% | Alastair Gray
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ilia Simakin - Alastair Gray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.57) |
|
2.03 ↓
(2.27) |
8%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Alastair Gray?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gray will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Simakin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gray (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Simakin (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Simakin (votes: 3 - 75%). Gray (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Simakin is ranked ATP: 226. Gray is ranked ATP: 390.
- Simakin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gray has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Simakin won against Alastair Gray?
Ilia Simakin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alastair Gray won against Ilia Simakin?
Alastair Gray has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Simakin - Alastair Gray were as follows:
Latest results of Ilia Simakin
Latest results of Alastair Gray
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gomez F. A. (1) | Ivashka I. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Dhamne M. (WC) | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ajdukovic D. | Shin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bar Biryukov P. | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Simakin I. (3) | Leong M. W. K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gray A. | Michalski D. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (NG) | Shimizu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kumasaka T. (Q) | Cina F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Noguchi R. (7) | Nagal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Geerts M. | Gill F. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | Singh K. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Huang T. (LL) | Crawford O. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Butvilas E. (8) | Vishal Balsekar A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Wu Tung-Lin (Q) | Binda A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Jorda Sanchis D. (LL) | Imamura M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Takahashi Y. (Q) | Clarke J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ivashka I. (RET.) | Dhamne M. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Ajdukovic D. | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Simakin I. (3) | Gray A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimizu Y. | Cina F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nagal S. | Gill F. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kasnikowski M. (WO.) | Crawford O. (4) | |
| 7 | Butvilas E. (8) | Wu Tung-Lin (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Imamura M. | Clarke J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Dhamne M. | Ajdukovic D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gray A. | Cina F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gill F. | Kasnikowski M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Butvilas E. (8) | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ajdukovic D. | Cina F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Gill F. | Butvilas E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
Final
