Colorado Caieiras vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Round 6

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 39', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 1 - 2, ,
  • 80', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Colorado Caieiras
38.3%
Draw
30.6%
Comercial SP
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 29.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 25.3% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Colorado Caieiras - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.12)
    2.96
    (3.08)
    2.92
    (3.24)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )).
    • Colorado Caieiras is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Comercial SP is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Colorado Caieiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Colorado Caieiras
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter de Bebedouro751112:4816
    2Lemense751110:3716
    3Penapolense751110:6416
    4Sao-Carlense743012:6615
    5Barretos EC74306:2415
    6Jacarei FC74126:5113
    7Sao Caetano73228:5311
    8Taquaritinga73137:6110
    9Tanabi72326:429
    10ECUS SP71514:408
    11Vocem70521:3-25
    12Comercial71155:9-44
    13Jabaquara71151:8-74
    14AEA Aracatuba71153:13-104
    15Colorado Caieiras70432:6-44
    16Nacional SP70160:9-91

          Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: )