August Holmgren vs Mika Brunold – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/02/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
58
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
68%71%
1st serve points won
69% (42/61)69% (37/54)
2nd serve points won
38% (11/29)73% (16/22)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)33% (1/3)
1st return points won
33% (18/54)34% (21/61)
2nd return points won
27% (6/22)62% (18/29)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)30% (3/10)
Winners
2025
Unforced errors
3028
Net points won
58% (7/12)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
60% (53/88)70% (53/76)
Return Points Won
30% (23/76)40% (35/88)
Total Points Won
46% (76/164)54% (88/164)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (9/12)83% (10/12)
Return games won
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Total games won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


August Holmgren
50%
Mika Brunold
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • August Holmgren - Mika Brunold Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)

    1.99
    (1.82)
    2.7%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for August Holmgren - Mika Brunold?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brunold will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Holmgren is ranked ATP: 201. Brunold is ranked ATP: 461.
    • Holmgren has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brunold is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Brunold may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Brunold will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Latest results of Mika Brunold
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2