Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
166
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
67%61%
1st serve points won
68% (32/47)84% (36/43)
2nd serve points won
52% (12/23)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)0% (0/1)
1st return points won
21% (9/43)32% (15/47)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)100% (3/3)
Winners
3223
Unforced errors
2017
Net points won
86% (12/14)81% (13/16)
Service Points Won
63% (44/70)72% (50/69)
Return Points Won
28% (19/69)37% (26/70)
Total Points Won
45% (63/139)55% (76/139)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
77% (10/13)92% (12/13)
Return games won
8% (1/13)23% (3/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
70.1%
Tallon Griekspoor
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Tallon Griekspoor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallon Griekspoor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallon Griekspoor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.45)

    3.18
    (2.76)
    5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Tallon Griekspoor?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Griekspoor will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 69.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Griekspoor (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3 Games - Mensik (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Griekspoor (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 6 - 60%). Griekspoor (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 13. Griekspoor is ranked ATP: 25.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Griekspoor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2