Mae Malige vs Matthew Donald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pszczyna, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
64

Chances of winning


Mae Malige
75.1%
Matthew Donald
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mae Malige's performance.
  • Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mae Malige that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mae Malige - Matthew Donald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.51)

    3.88
    (2.5)
    3.5%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Malige is ranked ATP: 519. Donald is ranked ATP: 588.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Donald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Malige is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mae Malige
    Latest results of Matthew Donald
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Wendelken H. (1)Paldanius O.2 : 0
    2Hignett L.Kellovsky D.0 : 2
    3Kumstat J.Karpinski S.2 : 1
    4Bozemoj B.Orlov V. (7)2 : 0
    5Stewart H. (3)Livet Novkirichka F.2 : 0
    6Haliak M. (RET.)Sorger S.0 : 1
    7Petkovic M.Wazny A.2 : 0
    8Petak D.Masur D. (6)0 : 2
    9Ursu V. (5)Filar K.2 : 0
    10Rivera L. (LL)Hartenstein J. P.1 : 2
    11Pel S.Braynin A.0 : 2
    12Butulija B.Wallin O. (4)0 : 2
    13Malige M. (8)Kamrowski M.2 : 1
    14Knitter K.Donald M.1 : 2
    15Filip J.Szajrych J.2 : 1
    16Ponchet M.Sels J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Wendelken H. (1)Kellovsky D.2 : 0
    2Kumstat J.Bozemoj B.2 : 0
    3Stewart H. (3)Sorger S.0 : 2
    4Petkovic M.Masur D. (6)1 : 2
    5Ursu V. (5)Hartenstein J. P.2 : 1
    6Braynin A.Wallin O. (4)1 : 2
    7Malige M. (8)Donald M.2 : 1
    8Filip J.Sels J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wendelken H. (1)Kumstat J.2 : 1
    2Sorger S.Masur D. (6)2 : 1
    3Ursu V. (5)Wallin O. (4)1 : 2
    4Malige M. (8)Sels J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Wendelken H. (1)Sorger S.0 : 2
    2Wallin O. (4)Malige M. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sorger S.Malige M. (8)2 : 0