Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
65%65%
1st serve points won
56% (36/64)65% (42/65)
2nd serve points won
46% (16/35)40% (14/35)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
37% (24/65)47% (30/64)
2nd return points won
60% (21/35)54% (19/35)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)31% (5/16)
Winners
2035
Unforced errors
2954
Net points won
78% (7/9)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
53% (51/97)56% (56/100)
Return Points Won
44% (44/100)47% (46/97)
Total Points Won
48% (95/197)52% (102/197)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
58% (7/12)67% (8/12)
Return games won
33% (4/12)42% (5/12)
Total games won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
64.4%
Matej Dodig
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.43)

    2.63
    (2.62)
    5.7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Budkov Kjaer (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 Games - Dodig (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 25%). Dodig (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 154. Dodig is ranked ATP: 230.
    • In recent matches, Budkov Kjaer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dodig is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Budkov Kjaer could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2