Result
1:2
26/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (38/53) | 78% (40/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 47% (9/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (2/4) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 22% (11/51) | 28% (15/53) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 50% (12/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 43% (3/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (50/77) | 70% (49/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 35% (27/77) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (71/147) | 52% (76/147) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 56% (14/25) |
Chances of winning
Valentin Vacherot
46.8% | Brandon Nakashima
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.87) |
|
1.79 ↓
(1.93) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima?
Users Predictions:
Brandon Nakashima will win
(24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brandon Nakashima will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Vacherot is ranked ATP: 27. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 29.
- Vacherot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vacherot won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Valentin Vacherot won against Brandon Nakashima?
Valentin Vacherot has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Valentin Vacherot?
Brandon Nakashima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
Latest results of Valentin Vacherot
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Atmane T. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (WC) | Norrie C. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (3) | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Duckworth J. | Svrcina D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. (WC) | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Walton A. | Kovacevic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Hijikata R. (LL) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Altmaier D. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Vacherot V. (6) | Wong C. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Dzumhur D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. | Ymer E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Kypson P. (Q) | De Minaur A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Wu Y. | Shimabukuro S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Davidovich Fokina A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vacherot V. (6) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. | Kypson P. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wu Y. | Cobolli F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vacherot V. (6) | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kecmanovic M. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (8) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Cobolli F. (5) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
