Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 7, hard - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Toufik Sahtali 45.6% | Luca Castagnola 54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toufik Sahtali's form might have worsened.Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Castagnola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+1%)
Toufik Sahtali - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.73) |
|
1.71 ↓ (1.94) |
7.6% (9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Toufik Sahtali - Luca Castagnola?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sahtali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Castagnola will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castagnola (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Sahtali is ranked ATP: 705. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 670.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Toufik Sahtali won against Luca Castagnola?
Toufik Sahtali has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Toufik Sahtali?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toufik Sahtali - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
Latest results of Toufik Sahtali
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Donnet E. (1) | Sickenberger T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | de Marchi A. | M'Chich A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rybkin S. | Massellani S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mikovic M. | Ostapenkov D. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Bennani R. (RET.) (3) | Sahtali T. | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Rivet M. | Branger L. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Herrmann T. (RET.) | Becroft I. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Gribaldo M. | Castagnola L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Sakellaridis D. (7) | Mecarelli M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tikhomirov M. | Barsukov N. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Corbinais S. | Dullinger V. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Rapagnetta D. | Kivattsev K. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Lee K. (RET.) (5) | Marino P. | 0 : 0 |
| 14 | Vankan M. | Trifi A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Shepp A. | Longwe-Smit T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Karol M. | Zhukov M. (RET.) (2) | 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sickenberger T. | de Marchi A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Massellani S. | Mikovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sahtali T. | Branger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Becroft I. | Castagnola L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Mecarelli M. | Barsukov N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Corbinais S. | Kivattsev K. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Marino P. | Trifi A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Shepp A. | Karol M. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | de Marchi A. | Mikovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sahtali T. | Castagnola L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Barsukov N. | Kivattsev K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Trifi A. | Shepp A. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | de Marchi A. | Sahtali T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Barsukov N. | Trifi A. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | de Marchi A. | Barsukov N. | 0 : 2 |