Joel Schwaerzler vs Dominic Stephan Stricker – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
115
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
68%68%
1st serve points won
78% (32/41)69% (22/32)
2nd serve points won
58% (11/19)67% (10/15)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
31% (10/32)22% (9/41)
2nd return points won
33% (5/15)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/2)
Winners
2012
Unforced errors
1919
Net points won
75% (6/8)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
72% (43/60)68% (32/47)
Return Points Won
32% (15/47)28% (17/60)
Total Points Won
54% (58/107)46% (49/107)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Joel Schwaerzler
28%
Dominic Stephan Stricker
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Stephan Stricker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Joel Schwaerzler - Dominic Stephan Stricker Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.92)

    1.31
    (1.36)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Joel Schwaerzler - Dominic Stephan Stricker?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Stricker will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stricker (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +3.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 4 - 80%). Stricker (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242. Stricker is ranked ATP: 373.
    • In recent matches, Schwaerzler has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stricker is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stricker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Stricker is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Stricker will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)1 : 2
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)0 : 2
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)1 : 2
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.2 : 1
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Topo M. (RET.)Huesler M.1 : 1
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Nesterov P.2 : 0
    2Dodig M.Skatov T. (7)2 : 1
    3Brunclik P.Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    4Moro Canas A.Stricker D.0 : 2
    5Mrva M.Mmoh M.2 : 1
    6Gakhov I.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    7Holmgren A. (8)Brunold M.0 : 2
    8Huesler M.Glinka D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Stricker D.2 : 0
    3Mrva M.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    4Brunold M.Huesler M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    2Piros Z. (3)Brunold M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Piros Z. (3)1 : 2