Result
1:4
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 🟥,
- 75', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
ARUC 26.9% | Draw 25.5% | Real Brasilia 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ARUC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ARUC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Brasilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ARUC - Real Brasilia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.39 ↓ (3.61) |
3.57 ↑ (3.45) |
1.91 ↑ (1.9) |
9.8% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ARUC - Real Brasilia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Real Brasilia (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - ARUC (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - ARUC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. ARUC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Brasilia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 7).
- ARUC is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Brasilia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Real Brasilia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has ARUC won against Real Brasilia?
ARUC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Brasilia won against ARUC?
Real Brasilia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ARUC - Real Brasilia were as follows:
Latest results of Real Brasilia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)