Result
0:2
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 79% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 78% (39/50) | 82% (40/49) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (9/49) | 22% (11/50) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 46% (6/13) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 83% (10/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (46/63) | 72% (50/69) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (19/69) | 27% (17/63) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (65/132) | 51% (67/132) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 100% (11/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Matej Dodig
58% | Joel Schwaerzler
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(2.04) |
|
2.24 ↑
(1.7) |
6.5%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Dodig is ranked ATP: 230. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Schwaerzler will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matej Dodig won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Matej Dodig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Matej Dodig?
Joel Schwaerzler has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler were as follows:
Latest results of Matej Dodig
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Topo M. (RET.) | Huesler M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Nesterov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Skatov T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Brunclik P. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mrva M. | Mmoh M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holmgren A. (8) | Brunold M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesler M. | Glinka D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mrva M. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brunold M. | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Piros Z. (3) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Piros Z. (3) | 1 : 2 |
