Ryan Nijboer vs Matteo Covato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
148
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
69%60%
1st serve points won
80% (49/61)77% (41/53)
2nd serve points won
61% (17/28)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
25% (13/53)20% (12/61)
2nd return points won
49% (17/35)39% (11/28)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)0% (0/1)
Winners
3625
Unforced errors
3328
Net points won
92% (11/12)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
74% (66/89)67% (59/88)
Return Points Won
33% (29/88)26% (23/89)
Total Points Won
54% (95/177)46% (82/177)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (15/15)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)0% (0/15)
Total games won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Ryan Nijboer
82.2%
Matteo Covato
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Nijboer's performance.
  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Covato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Ryan Nijboer - Matteo Covato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.22)

    5.24
    (3.79)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nijboer is ranked ATP: 526. Covato is ranked ATP: 738.
    • Nijboer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Covato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nijboer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nijboer is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Roca Batalla O. (1)Iradukunda G. (WC)2 : 0
    2De Krom M.Klok D. (10)2 : 0
    3Napolitano S. (2)Beckles D.2 : 0
    4Ishimwe C. (WC)Neuchrist M. (8)0 : 2
    5Vasa E. (3)Alvarado P. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Sinha N. K.Ionel N. D. (11)0 : 2
    7Dalla Valle E. (4)Beckley A.2 : 1
    8Voelzke G. (Alt)Dev S D P. (9)2 : 1
    9Pieri S. (5)Watanabe S. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Gatoto A. (WC)Marrero Curbelo I. (7)0 : 2
    11Nijboer R. (6)Covato M.2 : 1
    12Niyigena E. (WC)Steiner M. (12)0 : 2

    Final
    1Roca Batalla O. (1)De Krom M.
    2Napolitano S. (2)Neuchrist M. (8)
    3Vasa E. (3)Ionel N. D. (11)
    4Dalla Valle E. (4)Voelzke G.
    5Pieri S. (5)Marrero Curbelo I. (7)
    6Nijboer R. (6)Steiner M. (12)