Matteo Martineau vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
01/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
51
1st serve percentage
55%71%
1st serve points won
61% (19/31)75% (38/51)
2nd serve points won
52% (13/25)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)100% (5/5)
1st return points won
25% (13/51)39% (12/31)
2nd return points won
48% (10/21)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/5)60% (3/5)
Winners
2027
Unforced errors
2416
Net points won
67% (6/9)72% (21/29)
Service Points Won
58% (32/55)68% (49/72)
Return Points Won
32% (23/72)42% (23/55)
Total Points Won
43% (55/127)57% (72/127)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
67% (6/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
32% (6/19)68% (13/19)

Chances of winning


Matteo Martineau
45.6%
Keegan Smith
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Matteo Martineau - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.84)

    1.8
    (1.84)
    2.1%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Martineau - Keegan Smith?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Matteo Martineau will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Matteo Martineau will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martineau is ranked ATP: 350. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Martineau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Martineau could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Matteo Martineau
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Nagel A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Naw H. (Alt)Broska F. (12)1 : 2
    3Oberleitner N. (Alt)Bouquier A.2 : 1
    4Martineau M.Smith K. (7)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (3)Molleker R.0 : 2
    6Kotov P.Krumich M. (11)1 : 2
    7Cassone M. (4)Bertimon M. (WC)2 : 0
    8Lokoli L. (Alt)Zahraj P. (10)2 : 0
    9Broom C. (5)Knaff A. (WC)2 : 1
    10Janvier M. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (8)0 : 2
    11Nishikori K. (6)Jade D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Trufelli T. (WC)Sels J. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Broska F. (12)
    2Oberleitner N.Smith K. (7)
    3Molleker R.Krumich M. (11)
    4Cassone M. (4)Lokoli L.
    5Broom C. (5)Blancaneaux G. (8)
    6Nishikori K. (6)Sels J. (9)