Cristina Bucsa vs Magdalena Frech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
46
1st serve percentage
56%65%
1st serve points won
73% (33/45)58% (34/59)
2nd serve points won
43% (15/35)38% (12/32)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)36% (4/11)
1st return points won
44% (26/59)29% (13/45)
2nd return points won
63% (20/32)57% (20/35)
Break Points Converted
64% (7/11)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
60% (47/78)51% (45/89)
Return Points Won
49% (44/89)40% (31/78)
Total Points Won
54% (91/167)46% (76/167)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)50% (7/14)
Return games won
50% (7/14)31% (4/13)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Cristina Bucsa
57.9%
Magdalena Frech
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cristina Bucsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cristina Bucsa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdalena Frech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.79)

    2.26
    (2.04)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bucsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Frech will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 Games - Bucsa (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bucsa is ranked WTA: 63. Frech is ranked WTA: 57.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Frech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Cristina Bucsa
    Latest results of Magdalena Frech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1