Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
41.5%
Joel Schwaerzler
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.45)

    1.59
    (1.49)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erhard (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 313. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242.
    • In recent matches, Erhard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Schwaerzler is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Schwaerzler could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Schwaerzler will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Roca Batalla O. (1)Iradukunda G. (WC)2 : 0
    2De Krom M.Klok D. (10)2 : 0
    3Napolitano S. (2)Beckles D.2 : 0
    4Ishimwe C. (WC)Neuchrist M. (8)0 : 2
    5Vasa E. (3)Alvarado P. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Sinha N. K.Ionel N. D. (11)0 : 2
    7Dalla Valle E. (4)Beckley A.2 : 1
    8Voelzke G. (Alt)Dev S D P. (9)2 : 1
    9Pieri S. (5)Watanabe S. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Gatoto A. (WC)Marrero Curbelo I. (7)0 : 2
    11Nijboer R. (6)Covato M.2 : 1
    12Niyigena E. (WC)Steiner M. (12)0 : 2

    Final
    1Roca Batalla O. (1)De Krom M.
    2Napolitano S. (2)Neuchrist M. (8)
    3Vasa E. (3)Ionel N. D. (11)
    4Dalla Valle E. (4)Voelzke G.
    5Pieri S. (5)Marrero Curbelo I. (7)
    6Nijboer R. (6)Steiner M. (12)