Michael Geerts vs Tiago Pereira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Michael Geerts
57.7%
Tiago Pereira
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.
  • Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Pereira's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michael Geerts - Tiago Pereira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.45)

    2.2
    (2.54)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Geerts is ranked ATP: 299. Pereira is ranked ATP: 270.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Geerts will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    Latest results of Tiago Pereira
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Dostanic S. (1)Tsitsipas Pe. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Story J.Maxted L. (10)0 : 2
    3Soriano Barrera A. (2)Bernet H.2 : 0
    4Bittoun C.Gulin S. (8)
    5Piraino G. (3)Azoidis D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ovcharenko O.Fellin P. O. (11)
    7Barranco Cosano J. (4)Makk P. (CO)2 : 1
    8Nesterov P.Langmo C. (7)2 : 1
    9Gadamauri B. (5)Mansilla Diez M. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Sakellaridis M. (WC)Loge J. (12)0 : 2
    11Potenza L. (6)Jermar J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Schinas S. (WC)Carboni L. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Dostanic S. (1)Maxted L. (10)
    2Soriano Barrera A. (2)TBD #4
    3Piraino G. (3)TBD #6
    4Barranco Cosano J. (4)Nesterov P.
    5Gadamauri B. (5)Loge J. (12)
    6Potenza L. (6)Carboni L. (9)