Loann Massard vs Matt Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Poitiers, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
44

Chances of winning


Loann Massard
67.6%
Matt Ponchet
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loann Massard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Matt Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loann Massard than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loann Massard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matt Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Loann Massard - Matt Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.44)

    2.86
    (2.54)
    7.8%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Massard is ranked ATP: 610. Ponchet is ranked ATP: 828.
    • In recent matches, Massard has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ponchet is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Massard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Massard might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Loann Massard
    Latest results of Matt Ponchet
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Picard M.2 : 1
    2Pierre H.Reco A.2 : 1
    3Sabas M.Fomba L.0 : 2
    4Bouquet L.Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)0 : 2
    5Massard L. (3)Ponchet M.1 : 2
    6Dhokia R.Livet Novkirichka F.0 : 2
    7Couturier L.Lorusso L.2 : 1
    8Kaouk M.Matusevich A. (8)1 : 2
    9Tepmahc N. (5)Witz A.1 : 2
    10Branger L.Maric M.2 : 1
    11Gautier A.Ifi N.1 : 2
    12Rivet M.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    13Bobichon M. (6)Theate P.2 : 0
    14Wazny A.Domenc M.0 : 2
    15Bastiaansen P.Dussin L.0 : 2
    16Rossi L.Donnet E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Pierre H.2 : 0
    2Fomba L.Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)0 : 2
    3Ponchet M.Livet Novkirichka F.1 : 2
    4Couturier L.Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    5Witz A.Branger L.0 : 2
    6Ifi N.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    7Bobichon M. (6)Domenc M.1 : 2
    8Dussin L.Rossi L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Perot R. (1)Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)1 : 2
    2Livet Novkirichka F.Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    3Branger L.Beauge M. (4)0 : 2
    4Domenc M.Rossi L.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ghazouani Durand Y. (7)Matusevich A. (8)0 : 2
    2Beauge M. (4)Rossi L.1 : 2

    Final
    1Matusevich A. (8)Rossi L.