Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Dane Sweeny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
81
Double Faults
16
1st serve percentage
61%63%
1st serve points won
70% (42/60)58% (28/48)
2nd serve points won
44% (17/39)57% (16/28)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)44% (4/9)
1st return points won
44% (21/48)32% (19/60)
2nd return points won
43% (12/28)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)30% (3/10)
Winners
2632
Unforced errors
2837
Net points won
83% (5/6)79% (15/19)
Service Points Won
60% (60/100)57% (43/76)
Return Points Won
43% (33/76)40% (40/100)
Total Points Won
53% (93/176)47% (83/176)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
79% (11/14)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)21% (3/14)
Total games won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
58%
Dane Sweeny
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.
  • Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (2.25)

    2.24
    (1.6)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Sweeny (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sweeny (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 139. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
    Latest results of Dane Sweeny
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Krueger M.Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Draxl L.2 : 0
    4Riedi L.Hijikata R. (15)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Ahmad I. (WC)2 : 0
    6Jarry N.Maestrelli F. (13)1 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    8Blanch Dar. (WC)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (5)Landaluce M.0 : 2
    10Smith C.Shimabukuro S. (22)0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A. (6)Echargui M.2 : 1
    12Tseng C. H.Goffin D. (21)2 : 0
    13van Assche L. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    14Leach J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (14)0 : 2
    15Kypson P. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    16Johnson A. (WC)Sweeny D. (23)0 : 2
    17Bonzi B. (9)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 0
    18Gomez F. A.Mochizuki S. (16)1 : 2
    19O'Connell C. (10)Harris B.2 : 0
    20Mejia N.Basilashvili N. (24)1 : 2
    21Schoolkate T. (11)Bolt A.2 : 1
    22Ymer E.Wong C. (20)2 : 1
    23Nardi L. (12)Svajda T. (WC)1 : 2
    24Sachko V.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kopriva V. (1)Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    2Buse I. (2)Hijikata R. (15)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Maestrelli F. (13)0 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M.Shimabukuro S. (22)1 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A. (6)Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Galarneau A.Barrios Vera T. (14)2 : 0
    8Merida Aguilar D.Sweeny D. (23)2 : 1
    9Bonzi B. (9)Mochizuki S. (16)2 : 1
    10O'Connell C. (10)Basilashvili N. (24)2 : 0
    11Schoolkate T. (11)Ymer E. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Svajda T.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2