Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (42/60) | 58% (28/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 32% (19/60) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 56% (22/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 30% (3/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 79% (15/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 57% (43/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 40% (40/100) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (93/176) | 47% (83/176) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 43% (12/28) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar 58% | Dane Sweeny 42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (2.25) |
|
2.24 ↑ (1.6) |
6.3% (6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Sweeny (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sweeny (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 139. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Dane Sweeny?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dane Sweeny won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Dane Sweeny has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Dane Sweeny
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Krueger M. | Svrcina D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Buse I. (2) | Draxl L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Riedi L. | Hijikata R. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Ahmad I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jarry N. | Maestrelli F. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vukic A. (4) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Prizmic D. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blockx A. (5) | Landaluce M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Smith C. | Shimabukuro S. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Burruchaga R. A. (6) | Echargui M. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Tseng C. H. | Goffin D. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | van Assche L. (7) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Leach J. (WC) | Barrios Vera T. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Kypson P. (8) | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Johnson A. (WC) | Sweeny D. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Bonzi B. (9) | Pinnington Jones J. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Gomez F. A. | Mochizuki S. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | O'Connell C. (10) | Harris B. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Mejia N. | Basilashvili N. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Schoolkate T. (11) | Bolt A. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Ymer E. | Wong C. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Nardi L. (12) | Svajda T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Sachko V. | McDonald M. (17) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Svrcina D. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (2) | Hijikata R. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Maestrelli F. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Vukic A. (4) | Prizmic D. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Landaluce M. | Shimabukuro S. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Burruchaga R. A. (6) | Tseng C. H. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Galarneau A. | Barrios Vera T. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Merida Aguilar D. | Sweeny D. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Bonzi B. (9) | Mochizuki S. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | O'Connell C. (10) | Basilashvili N. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Schoolkate T. (11) | Ymer E. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Svajda T. | McDonald M. (17) | 0 : 2 |