Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Ymer E. retired
03/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
93
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
68%63%
1st serve points won
81% (22/27)56% (14/25)
2nd serve points won
62% (8/13)60% (9/15)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)33% (1/3)
1st return points won
44% (11/25)22% (6/27)
2nd return points won
40% (6/15)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)0% (0/3)
Winners
1512
Unforced errors
1515
Net points won
100% (2/2)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
75% (30/40)57% (23/40)
Return Points Won
43% (17/40)25% (10/40)
Total Points Won
59% (47/80)41% (33/80)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (7/7)71% (5/7)
Return games won
29% (2/7)0% (0/7)
Total games won
64% (9/14)36% (5/14)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
58.1%
Elias Ymer
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.
  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.97)

    2.25
    (1.78)
    6%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Elias Ymer?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Ymer (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 50%). Ymer (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 118. Ymer is ranked ATP: 174.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Krueger M.Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Draxl L.2 : 0
    4Riedi L.Hijikata R. (15)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Ahmad I. (WC)2 : 0
    6Jarry N.Maestrelli F. (13)1 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    8Blanch Dar. (WC)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (5)Landaluce M.0 : 2
    10Smith C.Shimabukuro S. (22)0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A. (6)Echargui M.2 : 1
    12Tseng C. H.Goffin D. (21)2 : 0
    13van Assche L. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    14Leach J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (14)0 : 2
    15Kypson P. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    16Johnson A. (WC)Sweeny D. (23)0 : 2
    17Bonzi B. (9)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 0
    18Gomez F. A.Mochizuki S. (16)1 : 2
    19O'Connell C. (10)Harris B.2 : 0
    20Mejia N.Basilashvili N. (24)1 : 2
    21Schoolkate T. (11)Bolt A.2 : 1
    22Ymer E.Wong C. (20)2 : 1
    23Nardi L. (12)Svajda T. (WC)1 : 2
    24Sachko V.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kopriva V. (1)Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    2Buse I. (2)Hijikata R. (15)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Maestrelli F. (13)0 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M.Shimabukuro S. (22)1 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A. (6)Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Galarneau A.Barrios Vera T. (14)2 : 0
    8Merida Aguilar D.Sweeny D. (23)2 : 1
    9Bonzi B. (9)Mochizuki S. (16)2 : 1
    10O'Connell C. (10)Basilashvili N. (24)2 : 0
    11Schoolkate T. (11)Ymer E. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Svajda T.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2