Alexis Galarneau vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/03/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
61
1st serve percentage
65%67%
1st serve points won
77% (33/43)68% (27/40)
2nd serve points won
57% (13/23)50% (10/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
33% (13/40)23% (10/43)
2nd return points won
50% (10/20)43% (10/23)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/1)
Winners
1817
Unforced errors
2434
Net points won
67% (6/9)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
69% (44/64)62% (37/60)
Return Points Won
38% (23/60)31% (20/64)
Total Points Won
54% (67/124)46% (57/124)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Alexis Galarneau
53.4%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.
  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+17%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexis Galarneau - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.29)

    2.02
    (1.58)
    6.6%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexis Galarneau will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galarneau is ranked ATP: 219. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 115.
    • Galarneau is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barrios Vera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Barrios Vera could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Krueger M.Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Draxl L.2 : 0
    4Riedi L.Hijikata R. (15)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Ahmad I. (WC)2 : 0
    6Jarry N.Maestrelli F. (13)1 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    8Blanch Dar. (WC)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (5)Landaluce M.0 : 2
    10Smith C.Shimabukuro S. (22)0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A. (6)Echargui M.2 : 1
    12Tseng C. H.Goffin D. (21)2 : 0
    13van Assche L. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    14Leach J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (14)0 : 2
    15Kypson P. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    16Johnson A. (WC)Sweeny D. (23)0 : 2
    17Bonzi B. (9)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 0
    18Gomez F. A.Mochizuki S. (16)1 : 2
    19O'Connell C. (10)Harris B.2 : 0
    20Mejia N.Basilashvili N. (24)1 : 2
    21Schoolkate T. (11)Bolt A.2 : 1
    22Ymer E.Wong C. (20)2 : 1
    23Nardi L. (12)Svajda T. (WC)1 : 2
    24Sachko V.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kopriva V. (1)Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    2Buse I. (2)Hijikata R. (15)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Maestrelli F. (13)0 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M.Shimabukuro S. (22)1 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A. (6)Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Galarneau A.Barrios Vera T. (14)2 : 0
    8Merida Aguilar D.Sweeny D. (23)2 : 1
    9Bonzi B. (9)Mochizuki S. (16)2 : 1
    10O'Connell C. (10)Basilashvili N. (24)2 : 0
    11Schoolkate T. (11)Ymer E. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Svajda T.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2