Stefano Napolitano vs Luka Mikrut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Mikrut L. retired
04/03/2026 at 04:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
510
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
69%59%
1st serve points won
74% (32/43)77% (33/43)
2nd serve points won
58% (11/19)80% (24/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
23% (10/43)26% (11/43)
2nd return points won
20% (6/30)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)50% (2/4)
Winners
1728
Unforced errors
2422
Net points won
46% (6/13)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
69% (43/62)75% (58/77)
Return Points Won
25% (19/77)31% (19/62)
Total Points Won
45% (62/139)55% (77/139)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
82% (9/11)92% (12/13)
Return games won
8% (1/13)18% (2/11)
Total games won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Stefano Napolitano
39.9%
Luka Mikrut
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 63.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Stefano Napolitano - Luka Mikrut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.5)

    1.55
    (1.5)
    7%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Stefano Napolitano - Luka Mikrut?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napolitano is ranked ATP: 422. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 165.
    • Napolitano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mikrut has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mikrut could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Latest results of Luka Mikrut
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0