Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (39/47) | 63% (32/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 64% (18/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 23% (11/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 46% (12/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 92% (11/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (52/72) | 63% (50/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (29/79) | 28% (20/72) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (81/151) | 46% (70/151) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (12/27) |
Chances of winning
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
63.8% | Kei Nishikori
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kei Nishikori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.54) |
|
2.58 ↑
(2.33) |
6.5%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nishikori will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishikori: 26.7% – 80.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kei Nishikori will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 150. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 284.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nishikori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Budkov Kjaer will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won against Kei Nishikori?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kei Nishikori won against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Kei Nishikori has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori were as follows:
Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Latest results of Kei Nishikori
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
