Igor Marcondes vs Gustavo Heide – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
211
1st serve percentage
56%60%
1st serve points won
71% (35/49)73% (41/56)
2nd serve points won
50% (19/38)39% (15/38)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)43% (3/7)
1st return points won
27% (15/56)31% (15/49)
2nd return points won
61% (23/38)50% (19/38)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)63% (5/8)
Winners
3216
Unforced errors
4333
Net points won
69% (18/26)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
60% (52/86)60% (56/94)
Return Points Won
40% (38/94)40% (34/86)
Total Points Won
50% (90/180)50% (90/180)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (10/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)33% (5/15)
Total games won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Igor Marcondes
30.5%
Gustavo Heide
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Igor Marcondes's form might have worsened.
  • Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Igor Marcondes - Gustavo Heide Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.34)

    1.36
    (1.52)
    6.2%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Igor Marcondes - Gustavo Heide?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marcondes will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Heide will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Marcondes (votes: 1 - 50%). Heide (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marcondes is ranked ATP: 307. Heide is ranked ATP: 301.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Marcondes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Heide could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marcondes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    Latest results of Igor Marcondes
    Latest results of Gustavo Heide
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Schiessl J. E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Diaz Acosta F. (SE)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    4Miguel G. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Cadenasso G.2 : 1
    6Ribeiro E. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)2 : 0
    7Marcondes I. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Heide G.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 1
    9Rocha H. (5)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Jover C. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)2 : 1
    11Reis Da Silva J.Soto M.2 : 1
    12Prado Angelo J. C.Den Ouden G. (4)2 : 0
    13Guillen Meza A. (8)Damas M.0 : 2
    14Monteiro T.Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Torrealba B. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    16Boscardin Dias P.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Miguel G.2 : 0
    3Faria J. (3)Ribeiro E.0 : 2
    4Marcondes I.Heide G.1 : 2
    5Rocha H. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    7Damas M.Monteiro T.0 : 2
    8Varillas J. P.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    2Ribeiro E.Heide G.2 : 1
    3Rocha H. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Monteiro T.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Rocha H. (5)Monteiro T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Vallejo D. (1)Rocha H. (5)0 : 2