Santa Catarina vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
04/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
84
Corner kicks
31
Total shots
178
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
94
Corner kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Vinicius Penelas ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Alex Goncalves ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Rodrigues R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Brener (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Nino Paraiba (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Coruja (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Otavio L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Gui Nascimento (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Vitor Mendes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Renan Nunes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Santa Catarina
34.5%
Draw
32.7%
Cuiabá
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 31.1% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 30.6% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Santa Catarina - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.8)
    2.84
    (2.94)
    2.82
    (2.53)
    7.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Santa Catarina - Cuiabá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Cuiabá (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Santa Catarina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Santa Catarina
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    12.02.2026 Sport Sinop - Cuiabá 1:0
    08.02.2026 Cuiabá - Várzea Grande 0:1
    31.01.2026 Cuiabá - Nova Mutum 2:1
    24.01.2026 Chapada - Cuiabá 2:2
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1BarraBye
    3America MGBye
    4America SETirol1 : 2
    5IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    6ByeVolta Redonda
    7America RNBye
    8ByeGAS
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17ManauaraBye
    18ByeItabaiana
    19FortalezaBye
    20MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    21CastanhalBye
    22ByeGuarani
    23Nova IguacuBye
    24ByeLagarto
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33Sao LuizBye
    34ByeMaranhao
    35CearaBye
    36AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    37JoinvilleBye
    38ByeCSA
    39Sao BernardoBye
    40ByeAlagoinhas
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Ponte PretaBye
    51SER CaxiasBye
    52ByeGuarany de Bage
    53Operario VGBye
    54ByePorto Velho
    55Atletico GOBye
    56Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65BareMadureira0 : 3
    66ByeABC
    67Aguia De MarabaBye
    68ByeIndependencia
    69Tuna LusoBye
    70ByeTocantinopolis
    71JuventudeBye
    72GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81ImperatrizBye
    82ByeAmazonas
    83FigueirenseBye
    84ByeAzuriz
    85Santa CruzBye
    86ByeSousa
    87CRBBye
    88Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1BarraBye
    2America MGTirol2 : 1
    3IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    4America RNGAS3 : 0
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    10FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    11CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    12Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    18CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    19JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    20Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Ponte PretaBye
    26SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    27Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    28Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI
    33MadureiraABC1 : 0
    34Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    35Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    36JuventudeGuapore
    37Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    42FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    43Santa CruzSousa
    44CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana

    1/64-finals
    1BarraAmerica MG
    2Volta RedondaAmerica RN
    3TBD #5Anapolis
    4Athletic ClubYpiranga FC
    5ManauaraFortaleza
    6CastanhalNova Iguacu
    7Santa CatarinaJacuipense
    8MixtoNovorizontino
    9MaranhaoCeara
    10JoinvilleSao Bernardo
    11Vila Nova FCOperario MS
    12ConfiancaTombense
    13Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage
    14Porto VelhoAtletico GO
    15Maringa FCUberlandia
    16GoiasTBD #32
    17MadureiraAguia De Maraba
    18Tuna LusoTBD #36
    19ManausLondrina
    20Operario-PRCapital
    21AmazonasFigueirense
    22TBD #43CRB
    23PortuguesaAvai
    24Paysandu PATBD #48