Calvin Hemery vs Arthur Gea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
69%53%
1st serve points won
65% (24/37)90% (26/29)
2nd serve points won
65% (11/17)62% (16/26)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)0% (0/0)
1st return points won
14% (4/29)35% (13/37)
2nd return points won
38% (10/26)35% (6/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)33% (2/6)
Winners
1616
Unforced errors
2417
Net points won
75% (3/4)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
65% (35/54)76% (42/55)
Return Points Won
24% (13/55)35% (19/54)
Total Points Won
44% (48/109)56% (61/109)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Calvin Hemery
29%
Arthur Gea
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 69.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.75)

    1.32
    (1.4)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Calvin Hemery - Arthur Gea?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hemery is ranked ATP: 316. Gea is ranked ATP: 161.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Gea is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Calvin Hemery
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    04.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    02.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Mpetshi Perricard G. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0