Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jan Choinski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
107
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
55%64%
1st serve points won
78% (31/40)66% (35/53)
2nd serve points won
48% (16/33)43% (13/30)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
34% (18/53)25% (10/40)
2nd return points won
57% (17/30)52% (17/33)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)40% (2/5)
Winners
3122
Unforced errors
2936
Net points won
86% (6/7)78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
64% (47/73)58% (48/83)
Return Points Won
42% (35/83)36% (26/73)
Total Points Won
53% (82/156)47% (74/156)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
65%
Jan Choinski
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.
  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.58)

    2.66
    (2.24)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jan Choinski?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Choinski will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 50%). Choinski (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Choinski (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Choinski (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 150. Choinski is ranked ATP: 122.
    • Budkov Kjaer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Budkov Kjaer will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1