Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouame – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
18
1st serve percentage
57%67%
1st serve points won
72% (42/58)61% (38/62)
2nd serve points won
37% (16/43)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
73% (11/15)50% (5/10)
1st return points won
39% (24/62)34% (20/58)
2nd return points won
48% (15/31)63% (27/43)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)27% (4/15)
Winners
2618
Unforced errors
5336
Net points won
81% (22/27)67% (10/15)
Service Points Won
57% (58/101)58% (54/93)
Return Points Won
42% (39/93)43% (43/101)
Total Points Won
50% (97/194)50% (97/194)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)29% (4/14)
Total games won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Hugo Gaston
57%
Moise Kouame
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Moise Kouame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.61)

    2.17
    (2.16)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kouame will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 50%). Kouame (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Gaston (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kouame (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gaston is ranked ATP: 96. Kouame is ranked ATP: 393.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kouame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    05.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith 2:1
    03.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka Glinka D. retired
    27.02.2026 Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Gaston 0:2
    27.02.2026 Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston Gaston H. walkover
    Latest results of Moise Kouame
    04.03.2026 Moise Kouame - Giulio Zeppieri Zeppieri G. retired
    03.03.2026 Jelle Sels - Moise Kouame 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1