Result
2:1
06/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 84% (31/37) | 65% (36/55) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 34% (11/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 19% (7/37) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 57% (20/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 55% (47/85) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (38/85) | 36% (26/72) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (84/157) | 46% (73/157) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 42% (11/26) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
56.4% | Jurij Rodionov
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sebastian Ofner - Jurij Rodionov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.65) |
|
2.13 ↑
(2.09) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Jurij Rodionov?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Rodionov will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Ofner will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 108. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 177.
- Ofner has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Rodionov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Ofner will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Jurij Rodionov?
Sebastian Ofner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jurij Rodionov won against Sebastian Ofner?
Jurij Rodionov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Jurij Rodionov were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Jurij Rodionov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
